Corinthians vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
COR
11%
25%
64%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
AGU
83%
14%
4%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
41%
27%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |