Corinthians vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
2 - 2
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
COR
2 - 0
VIT
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
COR
2 - 1
IND
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2001 |
COL
0 - 2
COR
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
COR
1 - 3
GRE
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 3
VAS
89%
9%
2%
|
79 | 29 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |