Corinthians vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
ARN
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
ATM
5 - 2
COR
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |