Corinthians vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
ABC
0 - 4
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
COR
3 - 1
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
BAH
2 - 1
COR
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
36%
29%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1996 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
3%
15%
82%
|
81 | 24 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1995 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
BOT
0 - 0
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |