Corinthians vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
11%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SCI
43%
28%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
COR
3 - 2
FOR
60%
25%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AVA
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
AVA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAN
19%
28%
53%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GOI
2 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |