Corinthians vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
3 - 0
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 3
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
COR
3 - 2
SAO
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
COR
4 - 1
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
COR
4 - 2
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAL
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
ATM
4 - 0
CRB
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
CRB
0 - 1
ATM
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
COR
2 - 1
ATM
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |