Corinthians vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
COR
2 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
COR
2 - 0
RCA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
COR
3 - 2
COT
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
COR
1 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
GRE
0 - 3
COR
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
RCA
3 - 4
ALN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
ALN
1 - 3
RMA
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ALR
1 - 1
ALN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALN
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1999 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALW
70%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |