Corinthians vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
COR
12%
26%
62%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
COR
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
RBB
72%
20%
9%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
72%
20%
8%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
POR
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
CAP
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
POR
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | +1 |