Corinthian-Casuals vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthian-Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
COR
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 2
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COR
4 - 1
POT
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
FOL
57%
21%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 1
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
4 - 0
LEA
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
HOR
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |