Corinthian-Casuals vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthian-Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 3
COR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 0
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
LEA
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 0
COR
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
4 - 1
MER
75%
15%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MER
4 - 1
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
LEW
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |