Korea DPR vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
PRK
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 1
PRK
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 0
PRK
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
PRK
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
THA
1 - 2
MAS
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 0
THA
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
JPN
9%
17%
75%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 0
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
THA
3 - 2
TTO
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |