Korea DPR vs Yemen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PRK
4 - 1
THA
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
PRK
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 1
PRK
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 0
PRK
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Yemen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
YEM
3 - 1
UAE
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
YEM
2 - 1
SYR
13%
18%
70%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 2
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
UAE
3 - 0
YEM
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 3
THA
10%
15%
76%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |