Korea DPR vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 0
PRK
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
2 - 0
AFG
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 1
UZB
17%
20%
63%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
KGZ
0 - 3
UZB
10%
15%
75%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UZB
4 - 0
KGZ
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 0
UZB
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |