Korea DPR vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 1
PRK
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 0
PRK
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 0
UAE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
3 - 0
BGD
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
1 - 3
TJK
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MMR
4 - 0
LKA
64%
19%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |