Korea DPR vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
PRK
4 - 2
UZB
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
YEM
0 - 3
PRK
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
THA
0 - 1
PRK
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 1
PRK
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CHN
2 - 1
PRK
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
JPN
0 - 0
SGP
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
JPN
4 - 0
IRQ
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
JPN
5 - 1
UZB
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
68%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
JPN
1 - 1
UAE
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |