Korea DPR vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
63.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 0
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
PRK
0 - 1
UZB
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 0
PRK
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 4
JPN
9%
19%
72%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
8 - 0
TJK
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
VIE
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 1
JPN
20%
25%
55%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |