Korea DPR vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
BHR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
0 - 2
PRK
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 1
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |