Korea DPR vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 77 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 83 | 75 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1960 |
CHN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
11%
9%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
PRK
1 - 0
CHN
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ITA
2 - 0
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |