Korea DPR vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
BHR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
0 - 2
PRK
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 21
PRK
3%
12%
85%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 2
PRK
5%
15%
80%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
PRK
6 - 0
MNG
91%
7%
2%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BHR
0 - 0
IRN
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
BIH
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
IRN
1 - 0
PAN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
IRN
7 - 0
LAO
95%
5%
1%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |