Korea DPR vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.8%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 6
PRK
12%
21%
68%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
IDN
0 - 2
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
TKM
1 - 2
PRK
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PRK
2 - 0
PLE
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
PRK
4 - 0
IND
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GUM
1 - 2
HKG
5%
14%
82%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 3
GUM
1%
6%
93%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
PHL
3 - 0
GUM
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | -1 |