Korea DPR vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.2%
+6
4.1%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
19.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.5%
2-0
20.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.2%
+1
17%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.2%
0
6.9%
0.8%
Win probability
0.13
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
KSA
0 - 0
PRK
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
PRK
0 - 0
IRN
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRK
69%
21%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PRK
2 - 0
UAE
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PRK
1 - 0
KSA
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 2
MAC
19%
20%
60%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
2 - 1
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
1 - 0
MNG
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
9 - 2
GUM
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
TWN
4 - 1
GUM
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |