Korea DPR vs UAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 1
PRK
14%
19%
67%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
JOR
3 - 0
PRK
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
PRK
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 1
PRK
29%
25%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 3
JOR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
UAE
1 - 0
THA
44%
24%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
YEM
0 - 3
UAE
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
UAE
1 - 3
BHR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
QAT
0 - 0
UAE
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2003 |
UAE
0 - 2
OMA
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |