Korea DPR vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 1
PRK
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
PRK
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
56%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 4
PRK
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
PRK
4 - 1
MAS
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 1
LBN
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 2
BHR
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
4 - 0
LAO
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |