Korea DPR vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
QAT
3 - 1
PRK
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BHR
2 - 2
PRK
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
PRK
0 - 1
KWT
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
IRQ
2 - 0
PRK
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 0
PRK
49%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
HKG
0 - 7
ARG
6%
16%
78%
|
51 | 95 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
HKG
2 - 1
SGP
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
SGP
0 - 0
HKG
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
VIE
3 - 1
HKG
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
HKG
0 - 2
UZB
10%
17%
72%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |