Korea DPR vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 1
PRK
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 1
PRK
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 0
PRK
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 1
AFG
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
AFG
0 - 1
NPL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
AFG
2 - 0
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
0 - 3
AFG
84%
11%
4%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |