Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Córdoba CF vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Córdoba CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CAS
1 - 0
CCF
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
CCF
2 - 0
OVI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
GIM
0 - 2
CCF
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
CCF
0 - 0
UES
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 0
CCF
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GIR
0 - 1
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
VIL
2 - 0
LEV
37%
33%
30%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +3 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
MAN
5 - 0
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -3 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
VIL
4 - 0
VIN
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
VIL
1 - 1
HUE
53%
28%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |