Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Córdoba CF vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Córdoba CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
2 - 1
VAD
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
0 - 0
CCF
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
0 - 1
REC
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
MUR
2 - 0
CCF
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
0 - 0
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATB
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
UPL
3 - 0
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 3
TRJ
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
RUN
2 - 0
ATH
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDO
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |