Corby Town vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 1
COR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
COR
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
HAY
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
OXF
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
WEA
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 3
GUI
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
HIN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
8 - 0
HIN
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
GAI
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |