Corby Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 3
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COR
4 - 5
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
COR
0 - 4
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WOR
5 - 1
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 0
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
BOS
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
GUI
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 3
STA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
COL
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |