Coquimbo Unido vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
USF
1 - 1
COQ
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COQ
1 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DCO
1 - 0
COQ
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 2
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
IQU
3 - 2
COQ
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DCO
2 - 0
SAN
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
DLS
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
USF
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |