Copa Chile 1/32
Global 6-1
Coquimbo Unido vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
COQ
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUB
1 - 2
COQ
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COQ
4 - 1
SWA
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CSL
2 - 0
COQ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 3
CSD
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
COQ
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 2
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DER
0 - 1
SAU
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 2
DER
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
NTA
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |