Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
Coquimbo Unido vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 1
COQ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
COQ
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
COQ
1 - 0
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
COQ
1 - 1
ANT
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
COQ
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MET
1 - 3
ARA
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
GVA
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 2
LLA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
TRU
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ARA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |