Conwy Borough FC vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
16º
14º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 2
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
AAA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CON
0 - 3
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 2
CON
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
5 - 2
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
PRE
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 2
LLA
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 2
PRE
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 1
RTW
41%
25%
33%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |