Conwy Borough FC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CON
2 - 3
BUC
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
RTW
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
COR
89%
7%
3%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
4 - 2
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
RHY
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
POR
4 - 1
GRE
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
COR
89%
8%
4%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |