Conwy Borough FC vs Buckley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
16º
14º
42
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
0 - 3
GUI
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 2
CON
78%
13%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
LLA
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
GRE
26%
22%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Buckley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
BUC
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CEF
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COL
5 - 2
BUC
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |