Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-5
Constància vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
2 - 0
CON
50%
29%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CON
2 - 0
PBL
49%
30%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
XER
4 - 1
CON
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
UEP
0 - 0
CON
17%
23%
61%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CON
1 - 1
CRE
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
XER
1 - 0
UES
42%
30%
28%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
GIR
4 - 1
XER
76%
16%
7%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
XER
4 - 1
CON
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
XER
2 - 1
OLI
57%
26%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 0
XER
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |