Constància vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
CON
5 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 3
CON
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
CON
1 - 0
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
2 - 1
OSA
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
BET
6 - 1
VAD
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 0
JFC
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
3 - 2
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |