Constància vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
RAC
1 - 1
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
CON
2 - 0
OSA
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
DEP
8 - 0
CON
80%
13%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
CON
3 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
UDL
3 - 0
CON
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
UDL
1 - 1
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 1
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 1
UDL
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
UDL
3 - 0
ONT
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
UDL
3 - 0
CON
78%
14%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |