Constància vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SPO
2 - 1
CON
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
CUL
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 1
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
ZAR
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
BET
1 - 1
SDC
62%
19%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 3
SDC
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SDC
2 - 0
VAD
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
HER
1 - 1
SDC
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |