Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-3
Constància vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
CON
3 - 1
CFP
75%
17%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
MNC
1 - 2
CON
47%
28%
25%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
CON
4 - 2
SAL
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
FLN
0 - 0
CON
42%
29%
28%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
CON
3 - 0
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RMC
1 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
RAY
2 - 0
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
GDE
1 - 1
RMC
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 1
AGD
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
SAB
1 - 0
RMC
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |