Constància vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
OVI
4 - 1
CON
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
RSO
3 - 1
CON
71%
16%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
CON
4 - 2
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1945 |
CON
4 - 3
OVI
26%
22%
52%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
CON
2 - 1
MLL
64%
18%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
0 - 5
FCB
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RCF
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
JFC
2 - 2
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
FCB
5 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SDC
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |