Constància vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
4 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 3
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 4
LEV
66%
18%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
LEV
5 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
26%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |