Constància vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CEU
3 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CON
3 - 0
LEV
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
PUE
0 - 0
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
CON
1 - 0
REC
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
GRA
3 - 0
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEP
0 - 0
OVI
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
OVI
4 - 0
BAD
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 1
OVI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
OVI
2 - 0
OSA
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
HOS
1 - 4
OVI
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |