Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-7
Constància vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
CON
2 - 1
MLL
64%
18%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
HER
5 - 0
CON
58%
21%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
CON
2 - 2
RAC
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
CUL
4 - 3
CON
61%
19%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
CEL
36%
23%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 3
OVI
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 1
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 0
SEV
57%
19%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
MUR
5 - 1
OVI
38%
21%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |