Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-3
Constància vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
CON
5 - 0
VIN
74%
19%
7%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
2 - 0
CON
47%
29%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
CON
3 - 2
VIL
63%
24%
13%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ATB
1 - 2
CON
22%
32%
46%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
CON
2 - 0
OLI
69%
22%
10%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
CDT
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 0
CCF
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 0
MUR
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 2
TER
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 1
MUR
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |