Constància vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
GRA
6 - 0
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
CON
2 - 1
CDT
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
CON
2 - 1
REC
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
VAD
8 - 0
CON
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
XER
2 - 0
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
MUR
1 - 0
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
XER
1 - 2
MUR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDB
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 2
MUR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |