Constància vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
CDC
1 - 2
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
CON
0 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
BAD
1 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
CON
2 - 1
VAD
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
MEL
3 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MUR
1 - 2
BET
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
VAL
4 - 3
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEU
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
RAY
4 - 1
MUR
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
MUR
4 - 1
CEU
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |