Constància vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
CON
3 - 1
OSA
66%
18%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BET
4 - 1
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1944 |
CON
2 - 0
JFC
57%
20%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BET
3 - 1
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
JFC
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 4
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |