Constància vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
AND
1 - 0
CON
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
CON
0 - 2
MOL
38%
29%
33%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
MHN
1 - 0
CON
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
CON
1 - 0
FRA
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
GIR
3 - 0
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PBL
0 - 0
ARN
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
ATB
0 - 0
PBL
33%
29%
39%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
PBL
2 - 1
MIR
71%
19%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
PBL
3 - 2
AND
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
MOL
2 - 0
PBL
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |