Constància vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
MNC
5 - 0
CON
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CON
4 - 4
BNS
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ATB
3 - 1
CON
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
CON
1 - 2
ADC
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
UDA
2 - 1
CON
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
PBL
5 - 3
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CDC
4 - 1
PBL
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
PBL
1 - 1
FLN
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
SOL
5 - 1
PBL
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
PBL
5 - 2
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |